News

Oil is celebrating the anniversary of its worst day ever with some early losses

Posted on: Apr 21 2025

Five years ago today marked one of the all time crazy days in the commodity futures markets.

The May 2020 WTI contract started the day at $17.85 and absolutely, truly imploded. It held for a time at the big round numbers like $10 and $5 and made a stand at zero then completely crumbled to a low of -$40.32 per barrel.

It eventually settled at -37.63 a day before settlement in a fall of 306% or $55.90 on the day.

Once it rolled to the following month, the market began to find storage and sorted itself out.

It was also a good day for this analyst as a month earlier I predicted that oil prices would go to zero (to the derision of many -- read the comments, and the tweet).

But it was a really good day for nine traders in Essex that made $660 million that day.

In a mockery of the norms of commerce, the Vega crew had ended up being paid both for the futures they’d sold when oil was positive during the day and for those they bought via TAS. That, combined with the profit from the spread trades, resulted in a total take of $660 million for the nine biggest earners, according to the trading data. Demetriou, who’s 31; Pickering, 25; and Younger, 22, pocketed in excess of $100 million each, while Roase made about $90 million. Commins took home $30 million or so. Even his son, George, who’s in his early 20s with little apparent trading experience, made $8 million.

RIP to whoever was on the other side of that trade.

As for today's, trade WTI is down 93-cents to $63.75 as weekend reports highlighted progress on US-Iran talks.

This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.
Top 3 trade ideas for 18 April 2025

Posted on: Apr 19 2025

The overview is based on trade ideas provided by the Acuity Trading service. RoboForex analysts only select ideas from those available on the platform and do not develop them independently. Please note that trading in financial markets involves high risks, and the ideas presented are not investment recommendations.

Trade ideas for USDCHF, USDCAD, and GBPCHF are available today, with an expiration date of 18 April 2025, 23:00.

Today’s trade ideas

Table of contents

  1. EURUSD trade idea
  2. XAUUSD trade idea
  3. GBPUSD trade idea

USDCHF trade idea

The USDCHF currency pair continues to consolidate under selling pressure. Over the past five sessions, price action remained mixed, yet every upward attempt consistently met active selling. A Bearish Flag pattern has formed on the daily chart — a classic continuation setup suggesting a probable development of a downtrend. The 0.8255 level remains a key resistance, capping recovery attempts and limiting further upside potential. Today's USDCHF trade idea proposes placing a pending Sell Limit order.

News sentiment for USDCHF shows a moderate dominance of negative expectations – 57% vs 44%. The risk-to-reward ratio exceeds 1:5. Potential profit at the first take-profit target is 255 points, and 442 points at the second, with possible losses capped at 80 points.

USDCHF trade idea for 18 April 2025

Trading plan

  • Entry Point: 0.8255
  • Target 1: 0.8000
  • Target 2: 0.7813
  • Stop-Loss: 0.8335
Explore More Trade Ideas

USDCAD trade idea

The USDCAD currency pair remains in a downward trend, yet prices have reached a support area near 1.3825, where the decline has slowed. The current price structure suggests a potential shift in direction and the beginning of an upward move. A breakout above the 1.3875 resistance will confirm the emergence of a bullish impulse. Once established above this level, the target will be 1.3975. Today's USDCAD trade idea recommends placing a pending Buy Limit order.

News sentiment for USDCAD indicates a moderate dominance of negative expectations – 56% vs 47%. The risk-to-reward ratio exceeds 1:2. Potential profit at the first take-profit target is 150 points, and 175 points at the second, with potential losses limited to 75 points.

USDCAD trade idea for 18 April 2025

Trading plan

  • Entry Point: 1.3800
  • Target 1: 1.3950
  • Target 2: 1.3975
  • Stop-Loss: 1.3725
Explore More Trade Ideas

GBPCHF trade idea

The GBPCHF currency pair shows signs of forming a local high, suggesting a possible short-term corrective decline. Despite the increased downside risks, the overall trend remains upward. Under current conditions, a buy-the-dip strategy remains preferable, particularly near the key support level at 1.0788, from where a bullish rebound is expected. Today's GBPCHF trade idea suggests placing a pending Buy Limit order.

News sentiment for GBPCHF remains balanced – 50% vs 50%. The risk-to-reward ratio exceeds 1:3. Potential profit at the first take-profit target is 213 points, and 252 points at the second, with potential losses limited to 75 points.

GBPCHF trade idea for 18 April 2025

Trading plan

  • Entry Point: 1.0788
  • Target 1: 1.1001
  • Target 2: 1.1040
  • Stop-Loss: 1.0713
Explore More Trade Ideas